A new report published by The Wall Street Journal contains interesting information about what the world’s population, currently 7.7 billion, could be at most, based on expert estimates.
The world started spinning faster: So what does it mean?
Experts from the Austrian Center for Demographics and Global Human Capital have put forward a prediction that the population of the planet will peak at 9.67 billion in the 2070s, after which the population of the planet will begin to decline. Earlier, the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs had said that a peak in population of 10.4 billion is expected in the 2080s, the indicator will remain at these levels until 2100 and only then will it begin to decline.
The world population will decrease before it reaches 10 billion
Wolfgang Lutz, director of the Austrian Center for Demographics, told The Wall Street Journal: “The UN calculates the population for each country using historical trends. Important factors not formally included in its models are the level of education and the quality of health care.” used his statements. Taking these factors into account leads to the conclusion that population growth rates in Africa and Asia will be lower than the UN predicted.
The scientist also expects a more pronounced decline in population growth in China. It is suggested that if the birth rate drops below 1.5 children per woman, it will likely remain at that level.
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