Various events throughout history have changed the fate of countries and determined what kind of future they will have. Although we are currently living in the space age compared to the Ancient Roman period, social events continue to occur in the political and social field. The Congressional Raid in the USA last year was also one of the most memorable political violence events in recent history. Now, researchers have accelerated their work in the field of ‘artificial intelligence’ technology in order not to be caught unprepared for such events.
“Now we have more data and more possibilities,” said Clayton Besaw, one of the names behind CoupCast, an artificial intelligence technology at Florida Central University, which is designed to predict social violence events. At the moment, we can follow a very different path than in previous periods,” he said. Some experts think that artificial intelligence technology will be a useful tool in predicting social events, while others think that it will not always give accurate results.
There are two different views:
Known for his work on predicting social events, Philip Schrodt stated that artificial intelligence technology will be a positive step in this direction: “We can compare this with the ‘weather’ forecast. Just like an approaching storm, approaching threats will be able to be observed. “While it is shared that CoupCast started to attract more attention in the USA after the events of last year, some experts believe that this type of technology ‘may not hold’.
Jonathan Bellish, director of the programming company One Earth Future, states that although there is a lot of data, it will be extremely difficult to make local and regional forecasts using this data. In addition, experts who believe that Bellish and artificial intelligence technology will not be useful in this direction do not find the ‘weather forecast’ example correct. Because unlike the weather, people who are recorded can take action from a different point by changing their ‘tactic’. The fact that people act in this way by adapting to the situation makes the historical data collected by the machines somewhat useless. In addition, experts state that the machines can perceive “peaceful and non-violent” demonstrations as a social violence event and predict it as a threat.
What are your thoughts on this? Is it possible to predict social violence events with artificial intelligence technology? Or is human nature unpredictable? You can share your thoughts with us in the comments section.
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