April has been an interesting month for the cryptocurrency market, characterized by high volatility, new yearly highs and a sharp drop. What awaits us in the crypto world in May? According to crypto analyst Valdrin Tahiri, May may bring excitement to the crypto market again. The analyst shares his crypto predictions for the month of May.
The leading cryptocurrency will reach its first monthly monthly close in 2023
Bitcoin price has created three consecutive bullish monthly candlestick closes. If the price does not close below $28,476 in the last two days of April, the monthly candlestick will also turn bullish. Thus, it will lead to the fourth such candlestick. However, the future outlook for May is not very bright. The main reason for this is the downside reaction to the $31,000 horizontal resistance area. Although the BTC price initially rallied above this, it was sharply rejected. It also started a short-term decline. This area is crucial as it has acted as both support and resistance intermittently since the start of 2021.
BTC monthly chart / Source: TradingViewAlso, the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) looks ripe for rejection. Traders use the RSI as a momentum indicator to assess whether a market is overbought or oversold and to determine whether an asset should be accumulated or sold.
If the RSI is above 50 and the trend is up, the bulls still have the advantage. However, if the value is below 50, the opposite is true. As the RSI reaches the 50 line from below (red circle), it is possible for the indicator to align with rejection from the horizontal resistance area, causing rejection. This bearish prediction will be invalidated if BTC price closes above the $31,000 resistance area. This makes a pump of up to $42,000 possible.
Bitcoin dominance rate (BTCD) will decrease significantly
The BTC dominance ratio shows the relationship between Bitcoin’s market cap and the rest of the cryptocurrency market. A BTCD value of 48.50 means that 48.50% of all cryptocurrency market capitalization comes from Bitcoin. BTCD is near a new year high. However, it is showing a few bearish signs. First, it created a shooting star candlestick on the weekly timeframe (red icon).
The shooting star is a type of bearish candlestick characterized by a long upper wick and a bearish close. This means that the upward move cannot be sustained and sellers push the price below the period opening.
BTCD weekly chart / Source: TradingViewNext, the weekly RSI shows overbought. The last time there was such an overbought and a very sharp drop in early 2021 (red circle). Hence, BTCD is likely to drop by 42%. This forecast will be invalidated with a one-week close above the 48% resistance area. In this case, it is possible for BTCD to rise to 62%.
Polygon (MATIC) will drop from top 10
Looking at altcoins in May, crypto forecasts are not in favor of Polygon (MATIC). Currently, MATIC is among the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap. In addition, as you follow on Kriptokoin.com, crypto money has been in the top 10 for a long time. However, the price action is showing a few bearish signs that the next few months will not be positive for MATIC.
This is mainly because MATIC is trading slightly below the support line of a long-term ascending parallel channel. Such channels often contain corrective models. So an eventual break is the most likely scenario. If one occurs, MATIC price is likely to decline towards the $0.75 support area. Potentially a drop below the June 2022 low of $0.32 is possible.
MATIC weekly chart / Source: TradingViewIn case of a close above the support line, this bearish forecast becomes invalid. In this case, it is possible for MATIC to move towards the midline of the channel at $1.45.
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